Tory MPs are to vote for the last time to decide which two leadership candidates should go through to the run-off vote among party members.

Only Rishi Sunak, Penny Mordaunt, and Liz Truss remain in the race after Kemi Badenoch was eliminated on Tuesday.

Mr Sunak is still the frontrunner, with Ms Mordaunt and Ms Truss vying for the second spot in the final round.

Conservative Party members will vote over the summer, with a result to be announced on 5 September.

Tuesday’s vote saw Mr Sunak gain the support of three MPs to bring his total to 118, just short of the 120 he needs to qualify for the run-off.

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Kemi Badenoch fails to make final three in Tory leadership contest
Ms Mordaunt gained 10 votes to bring her total to 92, while Ms Truss gained 15 to close the gap and bring her total to 86.

Ms Badenoch gained one vote to reach 59 overall, but remained in last place and was knocked out of the contest.

Which of Ms Mordaunt and Ms Truss makes it to the final two is now likely to depend on who can attract the most support from those MPs who supported Ms Badenoch.

One of them, Ben Bradley, said he thought Ms Badenoch’s voters could go “in all directions” and that he had not yet decided who to back on Wednesday.

Graphic showing the result of the fourth round
IMAGE SOURCE,.
Former Tory leader Sir Iain Duncan Smith, who is backing Ms Truss, said Tuesday’s result showed she “has the momentum” and had gained the support of a wide range of Conservative MPs.

Former Culture Secretary Maria Miller, a Mordaunt supporter, said she would offer the membership a “fresh choice” and the campaign was now focused on winning over Badenoch supporters.

The campaigns have also accused one another of transferring votes to their rivals as part of a strategy to improve their own position.

Speaking to LBC Radio, former cabinet minister David Davis, who is backing Ms Mordaunt, said it was the “dirtiest campaign” he had ever seen.

“Rishi [Sunak] just reallocated some… He wants to fight Liz, because she’s the person who will lose the debate with him,” he said.

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Analysis box by Chris Mason, political editor
There has been day after day of smiles and visions, promises and hustings.

But it now boils down to a final vote of Conservative MPs here, between 1pm and 3pm this afternoon, to decide which two of the three remaining candidates get a golden ticket to the run off vote among Tory party members.

Right now, the final realignment is underway.

Votes are fluid. Even if a candidate’s numbers don’t appear to move much between votes, they can still have gained some and lost others.

Chris Mason: Real jeopardy as Tories pick final two
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It is hard to judge who is most likely to win the run-off vote because participation in existing polling is low, but a YouGov survey of 725 party members on Monday and Tuesday suggested Mr Sunak would lose to either Ms Mordaunt or Ms Truss in a head-to-head.

The poll had Ms Mordaunt beating Ms Sunak by 51% to 37% and Ms Truss beating him by 54% to 35%.

The current size of the Tory party membership is not known for certain, but at the last leadership election in 2019 it was around 160,000, and is thought to have grown since.

Erdogan renews threat to ‘freeze’ Swedish, Finnish NATO bids

ISTANBUL: Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan on Monday renewed his threat to “freeze” the NATO membership bids of both Sweden and Finland unless the military alliance complies with Ankara´s conditions.

At a NATO summit in Madrid at the end of June, Erdogan called on the two countries to “do their part” in the fight against terrorism, and accused them of providing a haven for outlawed Kurdish militants.

Speaking Monday, the eve of three-way summit with Russia and Iran, Erdogan told reporters; “I want to reiterate once again that we will freeze the process if these countries do not take the necessary steps to fulfil our conditions”.

“We particularly note that Sweden does not have a good image on this issue,” the Turkish leader added.

Earlier this month NATO kicked off the accession procedures for Sweden and Finland after a deal was struck with Turkey, which had blocked the Nordic nations from joining.

Erdogan has accused both countries of being havens for Kurdish militants, specifically highlighting the outlawed Kurdistan Workers´ Party (PKK) he has sought to crush, and for promoting “terrorism”.

In Washington, State Department spokesman Ned Price did not respond directly when asked about Erdogan´s remarks but referred to Turkey´s green light during the NATO summit to the Nordic nations´ NATO membership.

“Turkey, Finland, Sweden — they signed a trilateral memorandum in Madrid to set this process in motion,” Price told reporters.

“The United States will continue to work with those three countries to see to it that this accession process and ratification — here and around the world — is as swift and efficient as it can possibly be,” he said.

Erdogan is due to board a plane to Tehran on Monday evening for talks on Tuesday with Russian President Vladimir Putin and Iranian President Ebrahim Raissi, from whom he hopes to get the green light for armed intervention in northwest Syria.

Ankara has been threatening since late May to launch an operation to create a 30-kilometre (19-mile) “security zone” along its border to tackle Kurdish fighters waging an insurgency against the Turkish state.

Both Tehran and Moscow have already expressed their opposition to such an offensive.

Russia, Turkey and Iran are all major players in the war that has ravaged Syria since 2011, with Moscow and Tehran supporting the regime of Bashar al-Assad and Ankara supporting rebels.

PML-N decides not to hold snap polls after PTI triumph in Punjab

The ruling party PML-N has decided not to hold early polls in the country after the party suffered a heavy defeat from rival PTI in the Punjab by-elections on May 17,

The recent development came late Monday, a day after PTI’s landslide victory in the Punjab by-polls that has paved the way for PTI to elect its chief minister for the province as it has a clear majority in the provincial assembly after winning 15 seats.

After losing the by-polls by a heavy margin, it was speculated that the PML-N leadership was mulling over an early election in the country, which was subsequently endorsed by Minister for Interior Rana Sanaullah.

“The idea of early election is on the cards but the final decision in this regard will be mutually made by the coalition parties. The decision will be made after we present the matter before the parties,” the interior minister had said.

 

According to sources, however, the PML-N held a meeting with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif in the chair, during which the defeat in the Punjab by-polls and other political matters were discussed.

Sources said that during the meeting, it was decided that the government will complete its constitutional term, but that PML-N will inform the coalition partners about its decision today.

Meanwhile, PM Shehbaz has summoned a coalition partners meeting today to deliberate over the political situation.

PTI turns the tables on PML-N, snatches Punjab back in by-polls

Celebrations in the PTI camp were in full swing Sunday night as preliminary, unofficial results in the by-election on 20 constituencies of Punjab showed the party had decimated its rival, the PML-N, in the contest to snatch back control of the province.

According to the unofficial final count from Sunday’s polls, the PTI won 15 seats, while the PML-N managed to clinch victory in only four, and an independent candidate grabbed one.

Nawaz, Zardari, Fazl talk strategy after PML-N loses Punjab

After PML-N’s humiliating defeat in the Punjab by-elections, PML-N supremo Nawaz Sharif, PPP Co-chairperson Asif Ali Zardari and Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam Fazl (JUI-F) chief Maulana Fazlur Rehman had spoken over the phone to discuss the country’s political situation a day earlier.

The three leaders had reportedly agreed that a detailed plan of action will be adopted in consultation with other allies.

According to the sources, Nawaz, Zardari and Maulana Fazl reviewed the results of the Punjab by-elections and discussed the future strategy of the coalition government in Punjab and the centre.

France, UAE sign energy cooperation deal

PARIS: The governments of France and the United Arab Emirates signed on Monday a strategic agreement to cooperate in the energy sector, the French government said.

The partnership aimed to identify joint investment projects in France, the UAE or elsewhere in the sectors of hydrogen, renewable and nuclear energy, the French government said in a statement.

“In the currently uncertain energy context, this agreement will pave the way for a stable long-term framework for cooperation, opening the way for new industrial contracts,” it added.

 

 

The deal coincides with the visit to Paris of UAE President Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed al-Nahyan between July 17-19, his first overseas state visit since taking over from his half-brother in May.

Russian shelling kills six; Ukraine president sacks security chief

Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky meanwhile appointed an acting security chief, having announced the suspension of senior law enforcement officials late on Sunday.

Rescue workers in blue helmets were digging through debris and clearing rubble from a collapsed two-storey building in Toretsk in the industrial east that was struck by Russian artillery early on Monday.Emergency services said five people had been pulled dead from the rubble, while a sixth, seriously wounded, had died in hospital.

Toretsk, a town of around 30,000 residents, lies 50 kilometres south of Kramatorsk, a key target for Russian forces, who invaded Ukraine in late February. Russia’s troops have made gains in the eastern region of Donbas recently, capturing the sister cities of Lysychansk and Severodonetsk.

On Monday, pro-Moscow rebels claimed that their next target in Donbas — the town of Siversk — was under their control, an announcement that could not be independently verified.

Grain supply talks

Kyiv, Zelensky appointed 39-year-old Vasyl Malyuk — first deputy head of the SBU security services since March — as acting chief after pulling Ivan Bakanov from the post.

Andriy Smirnov, a deputy head of the presidential administration told Ukrainian television Monday that Prosecutor General Iryna Venediktova and Bakanov had been suspended to prevent them “potentially influencing criminal proceedings against employees of the Security Service of Ukraine”.

The night before, Zelensky said security officials were investigating more than 650 cases of suspected treason and aiding and abetting Russia, including 60 cases of officials in Russian-occupied territories working against Ukraine.

In Brussels, the EU’s foreign policy chief warned that Russia’s blockade of Ukrainian ports was threatening grain supplies to tens of thousands of people vulnerable to starvation and said it must end.

“It’s an issue of life and death for many human beings. And the question is that Russia has to de-block and allow Ukrainian grain to be exported,” Josep Borrell told reporters.

Zelensky tweeted that he had had talks with Brazil’s President Jair Bolsonaro. “Discussed the importance of resuming Ukrainian grain exports to prevent a global food crisis provoked by Russia,” he wrote.

Russian and Ukrainian negotiators are due to meet UN and Turkish diplomats in Istanbul Wednesday to try to agree an end to the months-long blockade of Ukraine’s ports.

Kremlin advisor Yury Ushakov meanwhile said the impasse would feature in talks between Russian President Vladimir Putin and Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan Tuesday in Tehran.

Stay with sanctions: Borrell

Borrell urged the EU not to falter on sanctions against Russia, insisting that they were working, days after Hungarian leader Viktor Orban said the penalties were harming Europe more than Russia. “It is what we had to do, and we will continue doing,” Borrell said.

Ukraine Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba warned against “backing down and bowing to” Putin’s demands “will not work, it has never worked.” “This is a trap,” he said.

Israeli army chief makes first visit to Morocco

Aviv Kohavi’s three-day trip is the first official visit of an Israeli army chief to the North African kingdom.

Kohavi will meet Morocco’s minister delegate in charge of defence administration, Abdellatif Loudiyi, as well as the Inspector General of the Royal Armed Forces, Lieutenant General Belkhir El Farouk, and senior defence officials, an Israeli spokesman said.

Morocco had cut relations with Israel in 2000 following the outbreak of the second Palestinian intifada, but re-established ties two decades later in a deal that saw Washington recognise Rabat’s sovereignty over the disputed Western Sahara.

Since then, a steady stream of Moroccan and Israeli officials have visited each others’ countries and signed cooperation deals in various fields.

They have included Israeli Defence Minister Benny Gantz, who on a visit to the kingdom in November last year signed a security agreement making it easier for Rabat to acquire high-tech exports from Israel’s defence industry.

Last month, Israeli military observers for the first time attended the annual “African Lion” military exercise — vast drills involving thousands of personnel from several nations, co-organised by Morocco and the United States.

And in March, an Israeli army delegation met with Moroccan officers in Rabat, in the first visit of its kind since the 2020 normalisation deal, signing a military cooperation agreement.

The North African kingdom’s mending of relations with Israel re-ignited its long-standing rivalry with Algeria, which in August last year cut diplomatic ties with Rabat.

Algiers cited “hostile acts” and Morocco’s relations — including on military and security issues — with “the Zionist entity”, referring to Israel.

Morocco considers the Western Sahara an integral part of the kingdom, while the Algeria-backed Polisario Front has long demanded an independence referendum there.

Former Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan has renewed his call for early elections after a stunning by-election upset saw his party take control of a crucial provincial assembly.

His PTI party won 15 of 20 seats up for grabs in Punjab, beating their arch-rivals the PML-N on their home ground.

The result is a foretaste of what could happen in a general election due by October 2023 but which could be sooner.

Mr Khan was ousted as prime minister in a no-confidence vote in April.

The result in Punjab is a major blow for current Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, who leads the PML-N. His already weak coalition government’s fate now hangs by a thread.

Pakistan is reeling from unprecedented inflation and energy shortages – now political instability could spiral out of control.

Punjab, Pakistan’s most populous province, has long been a bastion of support for the PML-N of Mr Sharif, and his older brother, three-time former PM Nawaz Sharif.

But the party won just four of the seats in Sunday’s by-elections, with one going to an independent candidate.

 

The by-elections were called after MPs from the Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) were disqualified for switching allegiance in a vote to elect Mr Sharif’s son Hamza as Punjab chief minister. His short term in office now looks set to end.

But Imran Khan has the wind in his sails. He has been attracting thousands of PTI supporters to rallies since he was ousted.

“The only way forward from here is to hold free and transparent elections,” the former cricket star tweeted on Monday. “Any other way will only lead to increased political uncertainty and further economic chaos.”

Analyst Cyril Almeida says since it became clear to Mr Khan he was going to lose the vote of confidence in parliament, he has had a one point agenda: fresh elections as soon as possible.

“Now it’s within his grasp,” Mr Almeida says. “They may try and limp on…but the government is now effectively at Imran’s mercy.”

Fuel prices have rocketed in recent weeks, hitting people’s pockets hard

The result in Punjab suggests voters there wanted to send a message to the country’s leaders about the economic hardships they are facing.

Prices are soaring as the government tries to tackle a foreign debt crisis, inherited in large part from Imran Khan’s administration before he was ousted.

It was the first time in Pakistan’s history a sitting prime minister had lost a vote of confidence. Mr Khan blames a US-led “foreign conspiracy” for his removal. Washington has denied the claim.

How likely are early general elections?

Journalist and analyst Benazir Shah says there was already a camp within the governing party which wanted early elections, but they were sidelined.

“We could again hear those voices within the PML-N, pushing for an immediate election. However, perhaps none of the allied parties with the PML-N would agree to an election before October 2023.”

Ms Shah believes the Punjab result clearly shows the PTI is in the ascendency.

“Imran Khan was able to secure this victory for his party without the help of the military; without businessmen, who previously funded his electoral campaigns, and without having any major electable candidates [who have dependable vote banks] in his camp,” she says.

But she also expressed caution about reading too much into these results and interpreting them as a bellwether for rest of the country.

“While the PTI’s popularity is on a upward slope, a true referendum on where the PML-N stands in Punjab will only be possible in general polls.”

How deep is Pakistan’s economic crisis?

What makes life even more complicated for the ruling coalition is Pakistan’s precarious economic situation.

It was forced to introduce a steep hike in fuel prices and remove other subsidies within weeks of taking office, in order to meet International Monetary Fund (IMF) conditions to resume a $7.2bn aid package.

Cyril Almeida believes that the Punjab result has essentially “driven a stake through the IMF deal”.

“Had the PML-N won, the government would have been looking towards hikes in the rates of electricity. Instead, the markets have dipped on the back of obvious uncertainty.”

He says if Imran Khan’s team get back into office, they may even seek to renegotiate a PML-N deal with the IMF that itself was a renegotiation of an existing PTI deal.

“The economy will remain in deep trouble,” he says.

Scotland could have its hottest day on record with temperatures forecast to hit up to 35C (95F).

The Met Office said there was “a good chance” that the Scottish record of 32.9C (91.2F) could be broken in the south east of the country.

An amber warning for extreme heat remains in force across parts of Scotland until midnight.

Most of Scotland saw high temperatures on Monday with Edinburgh and Aberdeenshire passing the 30C mark.

The existing Scottish record was set at Greycrook in the Scottish Borders on 9 August 2003.

Met Office forecaster Mark Wilson said: “Across southern parts of Scotland we could see up to 35C, that’s the top end.

“If we see that it would be an all time record for Scotland by a couple of degrees so we will be watching closely.”

On Monday afternoon, the temperature rose to 31.3C (88.3F) in Aboyne in Aberdeenshire, and Leuchars in Fife, the Met Office said.

Elsewhere, the Royal Botanic Garden in Edinburgh recorded 30.8C (87.4F), and the mercury peaked at 29.9C (85.8F) in Aviemore.

 

A national emergency has been declared in the UK, with an unprecedented red extreme heat warning issued in England.

Justice Secretary and lead minister for resilience Keith Brown said the Scottish government was getting regular updates from transport providers, the NHS and emergency services on the impact of the heatwave.

He said: “I would urge people to think about whether they need to travel and if they do, make sure they’re properly equipped, and plan their journey in advance.

“Rail passengers and drivers should make sure they have water, sunscreen, hats and sunglasses and have a fully charged phone in case of any difficulties.

“When temperatures increase, it’s important to monitor forecasts and follow public health advice, including staying hydrated and drinking plenty of fluids and avoiding excess alcohol.”

Another day of weather-related disruption is expected on the railways with LNER cancelling all trains south of York and Avanti West Coast and Transpennine Express running a much reduced service.

On Monday the heat caused the overhead lines between Glasgow Queen Street low level and Hyndland to “sag” and speed restrictions were put in place that affected all ScotRail services.

Elsewhere, Loch Lomond and The Trossachs National Park has urged care around water, emphasising the risk of cold water shock.

Farmers have been taking advantage of the fine weather in Midlem in the Scottish Borders
Members of the public cool off by having a barbecue in Luss Water near Loch Lomond

Scottish Water has asked the public to be as efficient as possible with water use, including using watering cans rather than hoses in gardens, not to fill up paddling pools and to take shorter showers.

And the Scottish Environment Protection Agency (Sepa) has advised businesses to reduced their water usage to help current water scarcity issues.

The risk to health of high temperatures has also prompted the release of public health advice including drinking plenty of fluids, keeping out of the sun and avoiding exercise in the hottest part of the day.

Concern is highest for the very young, those with underlying health conditions, and for the elderly.

Climate change, which has pushed up global temperatures by 1.2C on pre-industrial levels, is making heatwaves longer, more intense and more likely.

Where is the amber heat warning in Scotland?

The weather alert north of the border affects:

  • Scottish Borders
  • Dumfries and Galloway
  • East Lothian
  • West Lothian
  • Midlothian
  • Edinburgh
  • Fife
  • Dundee
  • And parts of Perthshire, Falkirk, Ayrshire, Stirling, Clackmannanshire and Lanarkshire.

Conservative MPs will vote again on Tuesday as they continue the process of choosing the two candidates for leader who will be put to a vote of members.

One of the four remaining contenders – Rishi Sunak, Penny Mordaunt, Liz Truss, and Kemi Badenoch – will be eliminated when the result is announced later.

Mr Sunak looks almost certain to make the final two, with the other three candidates vying for second place.

Senior backbencher Tom Tugendhat was knocked out after Monday’s vote of MPs.

Separately, Prime Minister Boris Johnson will hold his last scheduled cabinet meeting on Tuesday ahead of Westminster’s summer recess.

The Conservative Party wants MPs to have chosen the two candidates to replace him before the Commons finishes on Thursday – with the final vote set to take place on Wednesday.

After a summer of campaigning by the two final contenders, grassroots Tories will vote for who should become leader, with the winner to be announced on 5 September.

 

Mr Tugendhat was eliminated after receiving 31 votes, down one from his performance in the second round last Thursday.

The other candidates placed in the same order as on Thursday, with Mr Sunak coming out on top having gained 14 votes for a total of 115.

Ms Mordaunt dropped one vote but held onto second place with 82 votes, while Ms Truss gained seven votes to bring her total up to 71.

Ms Badenoch placed fourth with 58 votes, up nine from the previous round.

In a statement, Mr Tugendhat said: “I want to thank my team, colleagues and, most of all, the British people for their support.

“I have been overwhelmed by the response we have received across the country. People are ready for a clean start and our party must deliver on it and put trust back into politics.”

But Ms Mordaunt said: “My vote is steady and I’m grateful to my colleagues for all their support and thrilled to be in second place once more.”

Sir Graham Brady reads out the result of third round of voting by Tory MPs in the leadership contest

A prominent Sunak supporter said: “That’s a cracking result – Rishi gaining most [votes].”

And a Badenoch campaign source said: “Kemi is pleased to have taken it to the next vote. She has momentum over both Mordaunt and Truss. It’s all to play for and Kemi is in it to win.”

A source within Ms Truss’s campaign told the BBC: “We’ve narrowed the gap to Penny pretty considerably. Story is Penny going backwards. All to play for!”

A Sky News debate scheduled for Tuesday was cancelled after Mr Sunak and Ms Truss declined to take part, and amid concern among senior Tories that airing disagreements in public could damage the party.

In seven weeks’ time, we will have a new prime minister.

For centuries in this country, with a few exceptions, we have collectively been in the habit of getting white men to run the place.

We now know for certain that that isn’t going to happen this time around.

We are now down to the final quartet: former Chancellor Rishi Sunak, Trade Minister Penny Mordaunt, Foreign Secretary Liz Truss and former Equalities Minister Kemi Badenoch.

And so to Round Four.

Meanwhile, Mr Johnson is expected to praise the resilience of schools and the NHS in continuing to function during the current heatwave when his cabinet meets formally for the last time on Tuesday.

He will also use the occasion to mark a year since England moved to step four of the so-called Covid roadmap, which saw the end of most of the remaining lockdown restrictions.

Monday also saw the government win a vote of confidence in itself in the Commons by 349 votes to 238, a majority of 111.

The vote could have triggered a general election had the government lost, although that would have required dozens of Conservative MPs to side with Labour and other opposition parties.

Nawaz Sharif blames ‘difficult decisions’ for PML-N failure in Punjab

LAHORE: Following the PML-N’s thumping defeat at the hands of PTI in the Punjab by-elections, the party’s supremo, Nawaz Sharif, blamed the “difficult decisions” taken by the centre for its failure.

As per the preliminary and unofficial results, PTI has swept the Punjab by-polls, remaining victorious on 15 seats out of 20, while the ruling PML-N suffered a bitter defeat managing to get only four seats.

Sources close to daily Jang said that Nawaz said that his party paid the price of “difficult decisions” taken by the coalition government.

Sources privy to the development said that the PML-N leader had spoken to Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Punjab Chief Minister Hamza Shahbaz and discussed the party’s future strategy in view of the by-elections’ results. He also directed them to convene an emergency meeting of the party.

 

 

“We respect public opinion,” sources quoted the PML-N leader as saying.

‘PML-N should accept results with an open heart’

Earlier, PML-N Vice President Maryam Nawaz took to her Twitter handle saying that the defeat should be accepted with an open heart after the unofficial results started pouring in, showing the PTI in the lead.

“The PML-N should accept the results of the by-polls with an open heart and concede to the decision of the masses,” Maryam wrote.

She added that winning and losing were part of politics, therefore, the party should now focus on its weaknesses, identify them, and then overcome them.

“God willing, everything will be fine,” she said.